The pick: Broncos 20 – Colts 14 □ Sunday London Game □ I'll take the Broncos to cover and notch their third ugly win of the season. The Broncos are down on their luck, but winning this game on the road, on a short week, without Taylor, is probably too much to ask. and follow the Colts around until Ryan's 24th fumble.Īnyway. Bouncing balls game level 7 full#All I ask is that if Ryan gets close to the record with a few games remaining, Collins and Culpepper need to go full Roger Maris Jr. Ryan is well on pace to make a serious run at the record – I get chills just thinking about it – which may very well end up being the highlight of the Colts' season. The NFL single-season fumbles record is 23 – held by both Kerry Collins and Daunte Culpepper. Speaking of which, the Colts lead the league in total fumbles (12) thus far, with Matt Ryan accounting for nine of those. Losing Williams, in particular, is a massive blow for a team that will now turn to Melvin Gordon, who's fumbled the ball five times in his last 44 touches, as its RB1. Javonte Williams is done for the season due to a torn ACL and LCL, while Randy Gregory was placed on IR with a knee injury of his own. Not only did the Broncos hand the Raiders their first win of the season last week, but they emerged from the loss down two of their best players. While the Colts head to Denver as 3.0-point dogs, they may be catching the Broncos at the right time. Just too quick a turnaround.- Ian Rapoport October 5, 2022 The #Colts have ruled out RB Jonathan Taylor (ankle) for tomorrow's #Broncos game. Update: Taylor has officially been ruled out. To make matters worse, Jonathan Taylor emerged from Sunday's loss with an ankle injury that landed him in a walking boot at practice Tuesday. Through four weeks, they rank 31st in offensive EPA and dead last in points scored. Indy pulled off an improbable upset over Kansas City in Week 3, but outside of that win, the Colts have looked like one of the five worst teams in the league. This isn't a must-win game for the Colts – such is life in the AFC South – but it's starting to feel like their season is already in danger of slipping away. Indianapolis Colts (+3.0) at Denver Broncos My best bet will always be highlighted in gold.Īll odds this week via BetMGM, as of Wednesday at Noon ET. NFL Week 5 Picks : Predictions, Props and Best Bets for Every GameĪs will be the case every week throughout the regular season, we'll start with Thursday Night Football and go game-by-game, picking each contest against the spread. Both McVay and Matthew Stafford have a knack for overcomplicating the easy things – the Rams should've had two more touchdowns last week against Arizona – but I think they do just enough to earn a hard-fought victory on the road.It goes without saying that this is a great spot for Green Bay, which should have considerable wiggle room to continue experimenting with its still-in-beta passing game.Something has to give, and I think it's going to be the Houston defense. The Texans have the worst run defense in the league (by a wide margin), while Los Angeles enters Week 4 dead last in the NFL in both rushing yards (177) and yards per carry (2.6). This is the perfect get-right matchup for the Chargers, who desperately need to get their ground game working.Give me the Bills to win and cover a close game on the road. So far, Lamar Jackson has been able to bail out the defense in wins over the Jets and Patriots, but this Bills team is a completely different animal.On the season: 31-30-3 ATS 39-24-1 straight up 1-3 best bets Honestly this should count as two losses) Last week: 7-7-2 ATS 11-5 straight up best bet lost (to Bailey Zappe. bad team matchups that should give us a leg up when it comes to projecting game flow.īefore we dive into Week 5, let's take our customary look back at the best and worst calls from my Week 4 picks. But if nothing else, we have a handful of good team vs. The point of the spread is to make each matchup as close to a true 50/50 as possible, after all. Of course, handicapping-wise, this doesn't mean a whole lot. As of Wednesday, seven teams are favored by 6.0 points or more, while two other games sit at 5.5-point spreads. While teams like Philadelphia, Kansas City and Buffalo have established themselves as early contenders, it feels as though the list of teams bettors can feel confident in each week is as short as it's ever been.Ĭoming off of a Week 4 that featured only two teams favored by at least a touchdown, the Week 5 schedule is a bit more lopsided. Forget the spreads – picking so many of these games straight up each week feels like a true 50/50 proposition. With that said, the league continues to be steeped in near-unprecedented levels of parity. After slogging our way to an 8-7-1 ATS record in Week 3, we mustered a 7-7-2 mark in Week 4. Welcome to this week's edition of Beating the Book – or perhaps more accurately: Surviving the Book. This article is part of our Beating the Book series.
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